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PrintThe Hiller Instinct: 7News/Suffolk Poll: Decision '04
If you think the outcome in Iowa was wild: just wait until New Hampshire's primary next week. Our exclusive overnight poll showing the race in the Granite State is changing by the hour. 7 Political Editor Andy Hiller live at our Manchester bureau with the numbers.
If you're just waking up, welcome to the new world of presidential politics. John Kerry's already won the Iowa caucuses and, this morning, he's positioned to win next week's primary here, too.
Howard Dean remains on top of our exclusive 7News Suffolk University poll with 23 percent but Kerry's at 20 precent - close enough statistically to now make this race too close to call.
Wesley Clark--at 15 percent--is still within shouting distance, but Iowa runner-up John Edwards and Joe Lieberman are far behind the leaders, suggesting New Hampshire could turn into a Kerry-Dean showdown.
Our tracking also lets us pick up daily trends and while Iowa was naming Kerry the first choice in the caucuses, so were more likely Democratic primary voters here.
Check out our daily difference: Kerry up a point, Dean down two and Clark off four. Dean can't stand too many more days like that before Kerry passes him.
Another key number from our poll is 26 percent undecided. It's not that one in four likely Democratic primary voters don't know the candidates - it's that many are no longer sure whom they want to vote for.
And given Dean's big leads here in the past, the obvious conclusion is that some of his supporters may become former supporters.